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Special issue on Chinese practice of dam construction, operation, and management
Issue 01,2026

Characteristics of flood and drought conditions in 2025 and corresponding prevention and response efforts

YAO Wenguang;

This paper systematically reviewed the characteristics of flood and drought conditions in China in 2025, the practices of prevention and response efforts, and the existing shortcomings. A retrospective analysis indicates that flood and drought conditions in 2025 have exhibited characteristics such as localized extreme heavy rainfall, relatively severe flooding in northern regions, and significant seasonal and periodic drought patterns. Adhering to the principles of putting people first and prioritizing lives and by establishing a mindset that anticipates worst-case scenarios and extreme situations, water resources authorities have implemented six categories of prevention and response measures rigorously, practically, and meticulously from the earliest stage. These measures include improving the flood and drought disaster prevention and response system, strengthening preparedness and readiness, implementing systematic, scientific, safe, and precise regulation of water projects for flood control, carrying out scientific emergency response, strictly preventing flash flood risks, and implementing precise regulation of water projects for drought relief. As a result, major rivers remain calm, and no reservoir dams collapse nationwide for four consecutive years; no key embankments are breached, and urban and rural water supply is effectively secured. However, under the challenges posed by climate change, shortcomings and weaknesses persist in flood and drought disaster prevention, including insufficient monitoring, forecasting, and early warning capabilities for small watersheds in mountainous areas, heightened flood risks for small and medium-sized reservoirs, and inadequate capabilities for monitoring, forecasting, and early warning of medium-to long-term drought conditions. Adaptive strategies are proposed accordingly, including accelerating the improvement of the flood and drought disaster prevention and response system, developing systematic solutions for flood control, flood utilization, and flood re-creation, and continuously strengthening the foundational work of flood and drought disaster prevention.

Issue 01 ,2026 No.1027 ;
[Downloads: 70 ] [Citations: 0 ] [Reads: 5 ] PDF Cite this article

Retrospective analysis of extreme rainstorm forecasting in 2025 and response considerations

WANG Lin;ZHANG Ling;

A retrospective analysis was conducted on four extreme rainstorm events that occurred in Laiwu of Shandong Province, Miyun of Beijing, Yuzhong of Gansu Province, and Ji'an of Jilin Province in 2025. The analysis indicates that current numerical forecasting models still have evident limitations in predicting the initiation and life cycle of mesoscale and small-scale convective systems. In particular, large deviations remain in forecasting the location and intensity of localized heavy rainfall induced by long-distance moisture transport from typhoons and by complex topographic conditions. In response to these challenges, countermeasures are proposed from four aspects. First, the construction and application of water conservancy precipitation radar networks should be strengthened, while multi-source data fusion and AI-based inversion technologies should be advanced to achieve more accurate precipitation monitoring. Second, the “cloudrain” precipitation model should be upgraded by introducing physical constraints and dynamic parameter calibration mechanisms, so as to overcome the bottlenecks of traditional statistical models in capturing multi-scale precipitation systems. Third, identification and forecasting models for typhoon residual vortices should be developed to address the problem of sustained disaster impacts after typhoon landfall. Fourth, AI-integrated ensemble precipitation forecast interpretation techniques should be developed to quantify the occurrence probability of extreme precipitation events. Through the above measures, it is expected that the lead time of flood-causing rainstorms can be extended and forecast accuracy can be improved, thereby providing stronger scientific support for flood control decision-making.

Issue 01 ,2026 No.1027 ;
[Downloads: 70 ] [Citations: 0 ] [Reads: 8 ] PDF Cite this article

Characteristics and prevention of floods in small and medium-sized rivers in extreme weather conditions

WU Zebin;CHAI Fuxin;XU Weihong;

Small and medium-sized rivers bear multiple strategic missions such as national water security, rural revitalization, regional coordination, and sustainable development. There are 11,169 small and medium-sized rivers in China whose drainage area ranges from 200 to 3,000 square kilometers, with their total drainage area accounting for 61.4% of the country's total land area. There are 1,447 cities at the county level and above, a population of 494 million, 410 million mu of cultivated land, and 300 million mu of prime farmland distributed along their banks. In recent years, against the backdrop of frequent extreme rainstorm events, the suddenness, abnormality, uncertainty, and disaster-causing nature of floods in small and medium-sized rivers have become more prominent. The death toll caused by such floods accounts for approximately 20% of the total fatalities caused by flood disasters nationwide, thereby making these floods a key and difficult point in current flood and drought disaster prevention. This paper systematically analyzes the characteristics of small and medium-sized rivers in 2025, including frequent extreme rainstorms, widespread spatial distribution of floods, the frequent occurrence of floods exceeding the design standard, as well as strong suddenness and disaster-causing nature. Meanwhile, it conducts an in-depth analysis of the problems and limitations in the current flood prevention of small and mediumsized rivers in terms of the engineering system, monitoring system, forecasting and early warning, engineering operation and management, and river channel management. In accordance with the concept of systematic governance of small and medium-sized rivers, targeted measures and suggestions are put forward from the perspectives of improving the engineering system for flood control of small and mediumsized rivers, rainfall and water regime monitoring and forecasting system, flood disaster prevention work system, as well as strengthening risk management and control and mechanism research. This study can provide a reference for flood prevention of small and medium-sized rivers in the new era.

Issue 01 ,2026 No.1027 ;
[Downloads: 52 ] [Citations: 0 ] [Reads: 5 ] PDF Cite this article

Evolutionary characteristics and countermeasures of flash flood disasters in extreme weather conditions

QIAN Feng;YAO Qiuling;ZHANG Haitao;

Against the backdrop of intensifying global warming, extreme weather events have become increasingly frequent, intense, and widespread. As a result, flash flood disasters in China have shown a trend of remarkable enhancement in suddenness, extremeness, and destructiveness, posing a severe threat to people's lives and property safety. Therefore, flash flood disasters have become the top priority, key challenge, focal concern, and critical focus in current flood and drought prevention efforts. Based on the review and analysis of 12 typical flash flood, debris flow, and landslide disasters across China in 2025, this study systematically analyzes the evolutionary characteristics and driving factors of flash flood disasters in extreme weather conditions. Flash flood disasters currently exhibit such typical characteristics as northward and westward expansion, concentrated occurrence during the main flood seasons, a high occurrence at night, a high proportion of mobile and vulnerable groups in the affected population, and intensified cascading compound superposition effects. The core reasons are listed as follows. Firstly, the northward shift of rain belts, coupled with underlying surface conditions, drives the northward and westward expansion of the disasters. Secondly, the severity and frequency of extreme weather events exacerbate disaster-causing risks. Thirdly, rapid urbanization and development activities in mountainous areas result in prominent vulnerability of disasterbearing bodies. In view of the shortcomings in flash flood disaster prevention in extreme weather conditions, this paper proposes systematic prevention thoughts and countermeasures from four aspects: establishing a full-chain prevention system that integrates monitoring, forecasting, early warning, simulation, and emergency planning, improving the engineering system for the systematic governance of flash flood gullies in small watersheds, enhancing the building of the whole society's disaster prevention resilience, and deepening research on disaster mechanisms in the context of climate change. This study aims to provide a scientific reference for improving the ability of preventing flash flood disasters under new circumstances.

Issue 01 ,2026 No.1027 ;
[Downloads: 93 ] [Citations: 0 ] [Reads: 4 ] PDF Cite this article
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Supervisor: Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China

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